Packers XLV

Pack's Chances on Sunday: Questionable.

Posted September 15th, 2018 @ 02:09am

Will he or won't he?

That is the question that defines the Week 2 showdown between the Pack and the Vikes. Most believe there is no way Rodgers won't be out there. I put it at about 80%. For the purposes of this blog, I'm going to assume #12 will be under center, or more accurately, in the shotgun when the offense takes the field. I mean, let's be honest, if Kizer is the starter the Pack has no shot.

So let's look at this matchup: when the Packers have the ball, they'll likely employ a similar strategy that was used when a one-legged Rodgers returned in the second half. Rodgers will avoid being under center, remaining in the shotgun or pistol all afternoon. A more effective running game would be his best friend in this one and I expect to see a lot more of Marcedes Lewis parked next to Bryan Bulaga to slow the pass rush of Danielle Hunter, as well as assisting with run blocking duties.

I expect Jamal Williams and Ty Montgomery to find it difficult to be real productive on the ground, but there should be considerable opportunities from them in the passing game against what is certain to be a fierce pass rush. The tight ends also figure to be used much more in this one. Look for Jimmy Graham to be targeted at least six times, especially with Davante Adams dealing with a sore shoulder and the Vikings aware of where Randall Cobb is at all times. If Cobb is matched up with the rookie Hughes, give the veteran the advantage. He and Rodgers are in sync and that's a matchup they can exploit.

When the Vikings have the ball, the story will be the guys in front of Cousins. The Vikings' makeshift offensive line will have its hands full with Daniels, Clark and Wilkerson. If they can make Kirk Cousins uncomfortable they'll force him into some mistakes. After getting no takeaways last week (except on the final play), it feels like the Packers' corners will have a couple of opportunities to take the ball away.

This will be the Pack's first look at Dalvin Cook, who was injured before these teams met. He showed last weekend how dangerous he can be as a receiver. If rookie Oren Burks is able to go, and he's listed as questionable, his speed and coverage ability should help limit Cook. The second year back was not able to do much on the ground in the opener, averaging just 2.5 yards per carry. Much of that was due to the run blocking by the line, which frankly is not good. The Pack should be able to keep him and Murray in check for the most part. We'll see whether Perry, Matthews and Gilbert can exert pressure from the outside. We didn't see enough of that against the Bears and being at home, the Pak needs to make Cousins uncomfortable.

This will be the first road game for rookie kicker Daniel Carlson, so special teams will be interesting to watch. Throw in a pair of inexperienced punters and Cobb assuming the punt returner role for the near future and there are lots of interesting story lines here.

Look, we know the Pack dodged a bullet last Sunday night, thanks to one of the most incredible quarterback performances we'll ever see. Mike Pettine's defense got better as the game went along. There were too many missed tackled and roughing the passer penalties, but the early returns were encouraging, particularly the play of the three young corners. The Vikes, meanwhile, turned the Niners over four times and still only won by one score. They didn't run effectively and gave up a bunch of passing yards.

If Rodgers is about 80% of his usual self, the Packers will have enough to stay in this game.   I'll call it a bit of a back and forth affair, with Mason Crosby winning it late.

Pack 24   Vikings 23

Just like last week.

 

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Comments (14):

Who the heck traded our Star backup Brent Dudley without telling me ? ..... Hope Rodgers can stay upright ..... Where's my Vicodin ?

on September 15th, 2018 at 02:28am

Packerlifer I am not sure what you are smoking but I hope you have enough beer tomorrow. Calling the Vikings dirty and having the one of the dirtiest players on your team is comical. Nice accidental club to the back of Trubisky's head Mathews had that almost cost the Pack the game... I hope Rogers plays but without the mobility it will be a problem. Fuller for the bears would have iced the game by catching the ball, won't get away with those errors playing the Vikings.

on September 15th, 2018 at 06:37pm

As a vikings fan, I hope they take a long look at AR's health and if he isn't 100% they keep him off the field. This is not because it would make this an easier game but because it is only week 2 and it makes no sense to jeapordize the rest of the season to win one game. Both of these teams will look different when they meet in November, would rather see the Pack worry about the marathon instead of the sprint.

on September 15th, 2018 at 09:16am

I totally agree about the tight ends. If we can just get up in this game, Cousins might just give us the ball. Its going to very interesting.

on September 15th, 2018 at 09:37am

If Aaron Rodgers wasn't "playing on one leg" and Aaron Jones not sitting for some offseason foolishness, I'd make this one almost a "lock" for the Pack. But even a 75%-80% Rodgers is enough to be a difference maker. The big thing to watch here is what cheap shot/dirty play the Queens will try again to injure ARod. They know full well they can't win the divison or maybe even make the playoffs again without elminating Rodgers. The late hit, the "oopsie" roll against the left leg. You know how the Stinkings will play it. The Packer defense played them decently in last year's games, especially the one at Lambeau and should do so again. An offense that can't score more than 17 pts at home against a 49ers D no better than the Packers isn't so great. Their defense got the benefit of an off-kilter Niners last week. Reeivers dropping passes, an errant throw or two, fumbling on the goal line. Frisco beat itself as much or more than the Queens doing anything to them. The Packers defensive front should have a favorable matchup with Minisota's o-line. Rodgers hits them for 3 td's and at least 280 and the Packers win 24-17.

on September 15th, 2018 at 09:42am

Even if Rogers were 100% this game is no cakewalk and one I would still take the Vikings in. The Vikings are better in every position outside of two. The pack has a better Oline and QB, but that is it. Cousins and the Vikings offense is only going to get better and I think this week they will exploit the rookie dbs and cousins will put up 350 and 3tds. Rogers hobbled versus this D is not going to do much and with the pressure I’m predicting a pick or two and a fumble. The run will not do much and Sheldon Richardson will disrupt things in the middle all day. Picking this one 31 - 16. My Pats will win this week and as always we’re a contender rather than a pretender like the pack.

on September 15th, 2018 at 09:54am

@Packerlifer - Yes ...... The Vikings practice and practice and practice every day (and all off-season ) on the best methods to injure Aaron Rodgers ..... if Rodgers gets injured again (or should I say injured worse ) on Sunday, you can rest assured that the fact that he is about as durable as a crystal chandelier dipped in liquid nitogen had nothing to do with it !!! Please ..... put aside the psilocybin mushrooms or, whatever you're doing there.

on September 16th, 2018 at 01:04am

Merry Christmas, Packers! That's really all there is to say.

on September 16th, 2018 at 04:16pm

Vikings deserved 2 lose that game...they wont make it 2 the nfc championship game... OL is in dire shape with loss of RG...Eflin is not the same player as last year with both knee and shouler injuries. Ol will be the downfall.. defense is very OVERATED

on September 16th, 2018 at 06:12pm

Leave it to the NFL to complicate the simple. The issue with the A.Barr hit on Rodgers last year wasn't "lifting" or falling with full body weight. It was just a plain old fashioned LATE HIT and should have been called a personal foul/unnecessary roughness penalty. Had it been handled correctly then we wouldn't now have a rule that is resulting in tacky calls, affecting the outcome of games by the zebras. Just another example of how the Minisota Stinkqueens ruin football.

on September 16th, 2018 at 06:55pm

Hey, you Queensters: how's it going with you and O.J. Simpson out looking for "the real killer?" If the Barr hit on Rodgers last year wasn't "dirty" why then did the league move to make it a penalty with a substantial fine if it happens again? Why not just admit your club got away with murder and benefitted from it big time. And maybe they will consider it worth the cost to swing the balance of a season to do something similar again.

on September 16th, 2018 at 07:21am

Would someone please tell Packerlifer that the Barr hit last year, the Kendricks hit today, and the Matthews hit today were football plays since the inception of football. Your whining about the call in Green Bay last year got the rule changed and your balls got burned by it today. I'm still laughing. By the way, next week, pull Clay on the final drive. He's just not overly intelligent.

on September 16th, 2018 at 07:56pm

Oh my god, the Queens did it again. This time they payed off the officals.This should have been a Pack blow out. Claymaer was just doing what he does and thats CLEANLEY hitting the qb. Rodgers will heal and will blow out the fag queens in there houlse.

on September 16th, 2018 at 08:50pm

looks like THC is using my post from last week. same line and almost same score . this game just does not get me excited. I wish we could play the vikes healthy one time. it's been a while, I just don't mean 12 , just wish both teams could be healthy and see what happens. but that is football now days. we all know 12 will need to throw on 2 and 3 step drops, it all comes down to the Packers D, if they can hold them to 16 or under the Pack wins. I don't see it. if the d can get 2 turnovers odds change drastically. But I see it 23 to 20 vikes. hope I/m wrong. But as M. zimmer saw last week, I was pretty close last week. Go Packers

on September 16th, 2018 at 10:41am

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