Packers XLV

Beating the Jags Should Be a Breeze.

Posted November 13th, 2020 @ 03:11pm

The Packers embark on the second half of their schedule Sunday with the game that looks like the easiest on paper: a one-win Jaguars team heading north into bad weather, with a rookie quarterback making just his second career start.

The Packers are two touchdown favorites for a reason, but let's hope the Pack learned some lessons from the last time a one-win team visited Lambeau on an exceedingly windy day. That happened two weeks ago. Now, rookie running back James Robinson is no Dalvin Cook, but he's on pace to havethe best rookie season ever for an undrafted running back. And with winds gusting at 25-35 mph around Lambeau on Sunday afternoon and temperatures in the mid-30s, he figures to be the focal point of their offense.

Let's see how the Pack's run defense responds to its latest challenge. Meanwhile, rookie QB Jake Luton gets his first road start under very difficult conditions. He did throw for over 300 yards in his first start last week, but that was against the atrocious Texans defense. There's no guarantee the Packers will have either starting cornerback for this game. Jaire Alexander has yet to be cleared from concussion protocol as I write this, and I never believe Kevin King is going to play until I see him on the field. He's been limited at practice this week and I wouldn't be surprised if he misses another game.

Whoever is back there covering the receivers, Mike Pettine figures to show Luton some exotic looks and make him uncomfortable as much as possible. Their tackles have struggled all season and the Smiths need to make their presence felt all afternoon.  The Jags have a decent set of receivers, but the guy to watch is rookie Laviska Shenault, a Swiss army knife, who does a little bit of everything in that offense. He left last week's game with a hamstring injury and has been limited in practice. If he plays, he's a dangerous weapon on a day when it's tough to throw downfield. The cold, wet conditions may make it difficult on a guy with a tight hammy though.

Of course, on this windy day, the Packers will have Aaron Jones on the field and he's in line for a huge day. The Jaguars are awful defensively. How awful? Their second leading tackler is safety Josh Jones. Yes, that Josh Jones. The former second round pick of the Pack has a chest injury, but is expected to play. The Jags are giving up more than 30 points per game to offenses like Miami, Detroit, Tennessee and the Chargers. Despite a tricky weather day, the Pack should have no problem getting to 30.

Davante Adams is likely to draw coverage from rookie corner CJ Henderson, the ninth pick in last year's draft, who's had a typical rookie season as he tries to figure things out. He's a Miami kid, so this will likely be the worst weather he's played in and Adams is likely to be his worst nightmare. It sounds like David Bakhtiari will be back after missing three games, so the line should be at full strength. No word on Allen Lazard just yet; the Pack still needs to remove him from IR. It might be another week before we see him.

Not much more to say about this one. It's the Jags. The Pack will handle their business and  get ready for a much stiffer test next week in Indianapolis.

Packers 34  Jaguars 14

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Comments (6):

Yes, we should handle the Jags easily. The INDY game in my opinion will go along way to determine if the Pack are contenders or pretenders. INDY is a very solid team and Pack need to show they can compete and beat a good team. They haven't shown that yet. GO PACK!!

on November 13th, 2020 at 12:00pm

Last week's results turned things favorably for the Packers' playoff positioning, though with half the season to go. Losses by Tampa Bay, Chicago and Seattle moved the Pack into the "3rd seed" position on the NFC with 2 conference losses keeping them from moving higher. Yes, Jacksonville at first glance looks like a "lock." But don't go to sleep on them. They've had a number of close decisions this year. They're average margin of defeat is just under 10 ppg. But the Packers' average margin of victory works out to only under 6 ppg. The Jags are scoring an average of 22.4 ppg and allowing 32.9. Green Bay is averaging 31.6 and yielding 25.5. So splitting the differences this one should go 34-20 for the Packers.

on November 14th, 2020 at 09:01am

I'm thinking like you Packerlifer, . I hate when THC is so confident. look at the vikings game. And now we have the winds again. The weather Gods are not helping here at home. Plus no fans again. RB Robinson is the key to the game. One Good thing Shenault is not playing. We cannot lose this game. I don't care what the score is and hope the we don't turn it over and LET'S get some for a change. I see it a lot closer in the wind. 28-20 Packers. Go Packers

on November 14th, 2020 at 12:22pm

My name is Roger Goodell. If you have any questions on the officiating today, I am here to answer. For example, on both Jacksonville rushing tds called back, there was nothing there. Absolutely nothing. Yes, they were laughable, and we hide it well. When they tried to call that tipped pass, even I couldn't allow that one so I called the head referee. Ask me anything. I'm here to try to explain. Yes, Jacksonville got Lambeau'd, but I can explain. Fire away!

on November 15th, 2020 at 03:18pm

7-2 Roger Goodell,how’s your squad,Go Pack!

on November 15th, 2020 at 04:45pm

Well, I am right there with Larry and Packerlifer. This team isn't built for cold/bad weather games. At least, I don't think so. It will be testament to LaFluer if he does a better game planning job this week than against the Vikings. I'm guessing this is even lower scoring than Larry. 24 - 21 Packers. I can't not pick the Packers and so want to be wrong, but considering the weather it will be the defenses job to win this game. I think our starting Inside Linebacker is supposed to return. Maybe that makes a difference. It would be nice to see the safeties actually haul in one of those picks too.

on November 15th, 2020 at 08:25am

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