Packers XLV

Taking a Stab at the Packers' Nine Picks; Mock Draft XLV

Posted April 27th, 2011 @ 04:04pm

OK, it's obviously ridiculous to try to forecast what Ted Thompson will do with his nine picks this weekend. But I'm thinking there are worse ways to spend ten minutes of your life. I'm hoping to hit at least six of the positions he grabs and see if I nail one or two on the nose.

I see five scenarios for the Pack at #32:

1-With four QBs gone and two left for a number of teams to fight over, Thompson trades this pick to a team like Cincinnati or SF and adds a #1 or #2 in next year's draft. I think there's a better than 50-50 chance that the Pack trades down.

2-Mark Ingram is sitting there. Odds are either the Saints or Patriots will grab him if the Dolphins pass. But if he's there are #32 I think the Packers pounce on him.

3-The experts' pick for the Pack is Arizona linebacker Brooks Reed. Chances are they could end up with him at #32, or if they move back a few spots. I can't argue with this choice. He would take a lot of heat off of Matthews and fits right in with his flowing locks. If the Pack elects to go with a linebacker they could go for...

4-Akeem Ayers, OLB, UCLA: Another guy who may fall to #32, though the Patriots might be a good fit at #28.

5-"The Bryan Bulaga Story" could be revisited if one of the top 5 tackles drops. Castanzo, Smith and Carimi will be gone, but if Nate Solder or Derek Sherrod is available, Thompson will be tempted to go with another tackle to solidify the future of the line once Clifton's knees give out. The way I have the first round falling, Sherrod is available when the Packers pick.

But ultimately, if the Pack stays at #32 I think they'll take:

Cameron Heyward, DE, Ohio State: Many will look at this and say it's a need pick. With Cullen Jenkins moving on in free agency and Johnny Jolly no longer part of the picture, the D-line's ranks have thinned. Pickett and Green are also on the backside of their careers so depth here needs to be addressed. But Heyward is the top guy left on their board and happens to fit right in next to B.J. Raji on the line. He faced constant double teams at Ohio State and was still very productive. He's mature-played four years-and his coaches gush about his work ethic. Along with Raji and Neal, Heyward could help anchor one of the league's top defenses for years.

2nd round (#64): Randall Cobb, WR, Kentucky: Thompson may elect to move up here to grab the guy he covets. Getting Jermichael Finley back will surely help the passing game, but with Driver finally showing his age and James Jones likely moving on, the Pack may need two receivers in this draft. Cobb is the SEC's all-time leader in all-purpose yards and could step right into the slot. He's got great hands and is a YAC stud. He's terrific in the return game and would add explosiveness to the special teams, while also being a potential #3 or #4 WR right away.

3rd round (#96): Davon House, CB, New Mexico St.: At 6'1", House has the measurables the Pack loves at this position. Ran a 4.44 in Indy and a 4.35 at his pro day, so speed is not an issue. Hard-nosed, physical and never missed a game. House provides depth at a critical position that was stretched to the breaking point in the Super Bowl. He could also compete for the kick returner job.

4th Round (#129): Stephen Schilling, G, Michigan: A four year starter, he played right tackle and left guard for the Wolverines and could compete for a starting spot right away, if Darren Colledge leaves via free agency. High football IQ and at 6'5" 308, scouts feel he has the frame to add 10-15 pounds and become a productive lineman in the league for a long time.

4th Round (#131): DeMarco Murray, RB, Oklahoma: I also considered Darren Sproles look-alike Jaquizz Rogers here, but ultimately the Pack goes with a guy built a lot like Ryan Grant, who's shown explosiveness and is the all-time leading scorer in OU history. He's projected as a late second rounder, but if he's still available, Thompson pounces.

5th Round (#163): DeMarcus Love, OT, Arkansas: Pegged as a right tackle in the NFL, Love anchored the line for the high-powered Razorbacks and kept pass rushers away from Ryan Mallett. a five-year college player, he's ready to step in and compete for a job. Better as a run blocker than a pass blocker, his inconsistent play knocks him down to the fifth round. Could be solid, could get cut in training camp (if there is one),

6th Round (#197): Greg McElroy, QB, Alabama: Hmmm, a late round pick at QB out of Alabama for the Pack? Where have I heard that one before? Since the lockout eliminated Graham Harrell's chance at studying in Mike McCarthy's QB school, McElroy has a chance to earn the #3 job, which could quickly become the #2 job, if Matt Flynn moves on via trade or free agency. McElroy isn't tall (6'2") and has a hitch in his delivery, but he was a big-time winner at Alabama and is extremely intelligent and accurate. A year or two under McCarthy and he will be a serviceable backup for A-Rod.

7th Round (#204): Malcolm Smith, OLB, USC: Fans have been waiting (im)patiently for two days waiting for a pass rusher to provide an upgrade over Jones, Zombo, Walden. Not sure Smith is an upgrade, but he's another guy to throw out there. He led the Trojans with 78 tackles and two defensive TDs in 2010. Smith is Clay Matthews' former teammate and will be coached by one of the best, Kevin Greene. His older brother is the "other" Steve Smith, of the Giants.

7th Round (#233): Marc Schiechl, OLB/DE, Colorado School of Mines: Just another player from that football factory, Colorado School of Mines. Thompson decides to double his pleasure with another pass rusher and Schiechl is Division II's all-time sack leader. He projects as an outside linebacker in the 3-4 and may end up being drafted higher than this. Very athletic and performed very well at his pro day at nearby Air Force. Seems like a TT pick.

And now for my final first round mock:

1. Carolina: Cam Newton, QB, Auburn

2. Denver: Marcell Dareus, DT, Alabama

3. Washington (via trade with Buffalo); Blaine Gabbert, QB, Missouri

4. Cincinnati: A.J, Green, WR, Georgia

5. Arizona: Von Miller, OLB, Texas A&M

6. Cleveland: Robert Quinn, OLB, North Carolina

7. SF: Patrick Peterson, CB, LSU

8. Tennessee: Nick Fairley, DT, Auburn

9. Dallas: Prince Amukamara, CB, Nebraska

10. Buffalo: Da'Quan Bowers, DE, Clemson

11. Houston: Aldon Smith, DE, Missouri

12. Minnesota: Ryan Mallett, QB, Arkansas, Vikings are desperate to energize the fan base. While throwing out hints that they love Locker, Mallett is the guy they covet and gets a chance to start on opening day (if there's a training camp).

13. Detroit: J.J. Watt, DE, Wisconsin

14. St. Louis: Julio Jones, WR, Alabama

15. Miami: Mike Pouncey, G, Florida

16. Jacksonville: Ryan Kerrigan, OLB, Purdue

17. New England: Tyron Smith, OT, USC

18. San Diego: Cam Jordan, DE, California

19. N.Y. Giants: Anthony Castonzo, OT, Boston College

20. Tampa Bay: Adrian Clayborn, DE, Iowa

21. Kansas City: Gabe Carimi, OT, Wisconsin

22. Indianapolis: Muhammad Wilkerson, DT, Temple

23. Philadelphia: Nate Solder, OT, Colorado

24. New Orleans: Corey Liuget, DT, Illinois

25. Seattle: Jake Locker, QB, Washington

26. Baltimore: Jimmy Smith, CB, Colorado

27. Atlanta: Akeem Ayers, OLB, UCLA

28. New England (may trade out): Mark Ingram, RB, Alabama

29. Chicago: Danny Watkins, G, Baylor

30. N.Y. Jets: Phil Taylor, DT, Baylor

31. Pittsburgh: Aaron Williams, CB/S, Texas

32. Pack: Cameron Heyward, DE, Ohio State

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Comments (20):

OK...Davy and Scheny...I stand by my Febuary post on this site for the Draft with a change at no 32 for the Pack. My guy at that time was Anthony Castanzo.....he has shot up the picks since then and will be long gone at 32. I believe the Pack has 3 possible scenarios at 32: (1)- Trade back in the draft for an extra #2 and a extra #4 (2) Trade up in this not discount this possibility if TT sees a guy he really likes in the middle of this round he has the depth to give up picks. (3) If TT picks at #32 the guy is Derek Sherrod the big OT from Mississippi State. I believe TT wants this guy....he is the best pure pass blocker in the draft and knowing the Bears want him this brings in the trade up scenario. Here is the rest of my mock draft for the Pack: Round 2: Mason Foster....OLB....Washington..6-1 241....runs a 4.6...led the PAC 10 in tackles...perfect fit for Packer 3-4 and should be available here. Round 3---Randall Cobb....WR/ KR....Kentucky.. 5-11, 186...first team all SEC .....One of the nation's most versatile performers ... Dynamic playmaker at wide receiver, quarterback, punt returner and kickoff returner ... Sees action primarily as a wide receiver and also plays quarterback in what one reporter nicknamed the "WildCobb" formation ... Also holds for placekicks ... has scored four game-winning fourth-quarter touchdowns during his career ... Has played in 23 career games, with 20 starts . With James Jones out this would be our Randle - EL type. Round 4....Shane Vereen....RB...California..5-10, 204. Perfect 3rd down back to replace Brandon Jackson. finished his career ranked among the school's all-time leaders in rushing touchdowns (29, No. 3-T), total touchdowns (35, No. 4-T), all-purpose yards (4,069, No. 5), rushing yards (2,834, No. 7), 100-yard rushing games (11, No. 7) and scoring (210, No. 9-T) ... Good pass receiver and more versatile than Jackson. Round 4...second pick....Jarvis Jenkins DT...6-4 310 Clemson ....played next to Duann Bowers Round 5: Darius Morris....OT/G... Temple....6-4, 318....nice insurance for future....especially if Colledge gone Round 6.....Ryan Jones ....CB ....NW Missouri State....5-11 195....solid corner. Round 7.... Mike Mohamed....MLB.... California....6-3 ...239 and Josh Jasper ....placekicker ....5-11 160 from LSU.All of these would fit some limited needs Packers have and from my research may be available at their choices. Position needs are where I believe we need help at least in depth. Who knows ....TT might need a rube on his draft warroom......GO PACK GO !!!

on April 27th, 2011 at 06:56pm

I had posted this earlier this morning but will repost after Davey's mock for the Packers: SchenySchen#00 Packers-MockDraft: OSSG asked for a whole mock draft so here you go: I think TT will trade #32 with Tennessee for picks #39(2nd) and pick 109(4th). Tennessee sits behind Buffalo, Cincy, SF and AZ, whom all need QB's, thus they will look to move up to get one before they all come off the board. The hinge pick in the draft is #39, I think they will take Watkins, OG out of Baylor. With #64, they take Kendrick Ellis, DT out of Hampton. Round 3(#96) was a tough one, I went with Chimdi Checkwa, CB from OSU. The fourth is where they have the highest number and take at #109 Greg Salas - WR - Hawaii, #128 Joseph Barksdale - OT from LSU and their compensatory pick choose Cecil Shorts - WR/KR - Mount union college. Round 5 - Demarcus Love - OT -Arkansas. Round 6 -Cedric Thornton -DT Arkansas St. and finally in round 7 they choose - Chyckie Brown -CB Texas and Brian Rolle OLB -OSU. -----As we all know, late rounds are rough. In this draft even early rounds are tough to pick. I think with this grouping, the Packers address most needs, LG, WR,D-line depth,Right Tackle for the future and CB depth. I have intentionally left off OLB because unless they take one with their first pick, I don't believe they will do much there. I think that TT and the coaches think that one of the 3 OLB's will improve enough that it is not a need. Depth is good. RB is also one i am not predicting as I think that Bjax may be back after he see's how little there is out there for him. Even if he's not, Starks, Grant and Kuhn are solid. GoPack

on April 27th, 2011 at 11:53am

Davey, happy with your draft. I would be ecstatic if Cobb is available at 64, i just don't see it happening. Heyward at 32 would also make me happy. -------------------------------------Guys I don't want us to draft: Mark Ingram, Brooks Reed, Akeem Ayers... and I'm sure i'll think of a few more. Go Pack!

on April 27th, 2011 at 11:58am

hey packer champs. I'm back. I told u 2 months ago what tt should do. trade up. we don't need all these players. we have all this depth coming back from i.r. we'll end up drafting all these picks then dropping them cause there is no room on roster. here is what tt should do, move up to early twenties and give up 4th and 7th round picks. we still have a pick in each round anyway.then take liuget dt, Ill. or love to get carimi there. then with 2nd round get hankenson w.r. from miami. he would be perfect on outside and put nelson in slot. 3rd round take marcus cannon, from tcu. big man that can play left tackle or center. he dominated the badgers, watch that game again and he was scary good. in the 4th take jeremey kerley,w.r tcu. returns punts and great slot receiver. the 5th round i would love to get mouton, olb from michigan All he did was lead the big ten in tackles last year.6th round go with curtis marsh. c.b. utah state. 6' tall 197# and has 4.4 speed in forty. and returns punts and kickoffs. last pick take jalil brown c.b from colorado, 4.4 guy and has great ball skills like tramon has. keep an eye on these guys next year that i would like to have james carpenter lt, ala. noel divine, rb w.v. jabaal sheard d.e pitt. sam acho d.e texas,. this is what I would do, here is who tt will take 1st round i guy may not fall this far. austin d.e. n.c. and a tackle or center with 2nd pick. there you have it, let it be written, let it be done. go champs

on April 28th, 2011 at 03:16pm

OK guys now that we all hashed it out bring out your snuggy as the Pack will not pick until after midnight. I'm staying up for the whole thing and will be a little upset if TT trades the pick for a pick next year. GO PACK Go !!

on April 28th, 2011 at 05:53pm

I said it before, "value". there is a good chance the Pack trades down.

on April 28th, 2011 at 10:07am

OSSG nails it!

on April 28th, 2011 at 10:58pm

Great call, OSSG. Let's see if you can keep it going on Friday!

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