Packers XLV

NFC Hierarchy Clears as Playoffs Nears

Posted November 29th, 2011 @ 03:11pm

As we get set to turn the calendar to December we enter crunch time in the NFL--where playoff positioning is solidified and teams try to catch a wave like the Packers did last season. But as of now, the NFC playoffs appear set. The six teams that would comprise the NFC field right now, appear to be the ones that will be left standing in January.

Yes, I know, a lot can happen between now and New Year's Day. A key QB could go down, someone could stomp their way to a suspension. But barring any major developments, here's how things appear to be shaking out in the NFC.

#1 Seed: The Pack, of course. They haven't lost in more than 340 days. They're chasing history right now and have a very good shot at an undefeated regular season. This Sunday's road test at the Giants appears to be their toughest game left, though home games against the Raiders and Bears won't be gimmes. Whether they're 16-0 or slip up somewhere along the way, there will be no road warrior script like 2010 for the Packers. The road to the Super Bowl runs through Lambeau.

#2 Seed: San Francisco appears to have the inside track, but don't sleep on the Saints. The Niners have a better conference record than New Orleans, 7-1 vs. 5-3, so they would likely win a tiebreaker if they finish with similar records. With road games in Seattle and St. Louis and home games against the Rams, Panthers and Steelers, I see the 49ers finishing 13-3 at worst and the second seed.

#3 Seed: The Saints remain the Packers' most dangerous threat in the NFC. As I predicted in August, the first game and last game may be Saints at Packers. They have the QB who can go toe to toe with Aaron Rodgers and he has a deeper arsenal of offensive weapons than the Pack has--thanks to a strong backfield. The Saints may win out. Their toughest test is a road game in Nashville. Otherwise they come to Minnesota and host the Lions, Falcons and Panthers. Say they stumble once. They finish 12-4 and the third seed.

#4 Seed: Though the Cowboys only have a one game lead over the Giants, it feels like a lot more. They've won four straight, though they haven't been overly impressive along the way. The schedule favors Dallas in December, with divisional home games against the Giants and Eagles and road games in Arizona, Tampa and New York. They're 7-4 right now; I've got them finishing 10-6 and winning the NFC Least.

Wildcard #1: Atlanta has righted the ship and will secure the top wildcard spot with 10 or 11 wins. They're at Houston this week--the Texans are down to their third string QB--a rookie--and they're on the road in Carolina and New Orleans. They have home games with Jacksonville and Tampa Bay. Feels like 10-6.

Wildcard #2: Despite the loss of Jay Cutler, the Bears will sneak into the playoffs by default. They'll win their two home games, against KC and Seattle and will likely win in Minnesota in the season finale. The road game in Denver is a question mark because it's hard to pick against Tim Tebow right now--feels like you're picking against God. They'll lose in Lambeau on Christmas night, so put them at 10 or 11 wins.

The Pretenders: The only two teams with winning records right now are the Lions and the Giants. With news that Ndamukong Suh has been suspended two games for stomping on Evan Dietrich-Smith, the Lions have no shot in New Orleans on Sunday night. They'll win home games with the Vikings and Chargers, but will lose at Oakland and Green Bay, to finish at 9-7. They may be ascending, but they need to learn how to act like winners. As for the Giants, if you've watched them this season, you know they are confounding. Lose at home to Seattle then beat the Patriots in Foxborough. Their last two efforts: losses at home to the Eagles and at New Orleans show that their offensive line is terrible and their secondary took too many injury hits early on to compete. 8-8 appears to be their fate.

Wildcard weekend could bring us Chicago at Dallas and a divisional matchup between the Falcons and the Saints. If the home teams survive, we'd be looking at Dallas at Lambeau and the Saints at San Francisco in the divisional round. Wait, am I getting ahead of myself? OK, one game at a time...bring on the Giants.

Post a Comment:

Please Enter the Validation Code Below

Comments (23):

I just could not go away your website prior to suggesting that I actually loved the usual information an individual provide in your visitors? Is going to be again often in order to inspect new posts

on April 22nd, 2012 at 02:40am

I like the valuable info you provide in your articles. Iíll bookmark your weblog and check again here regularly. I'm quite certain Iíll learn a lot of new stuff right here! Good luck for the next!

on April 24th, 2012 at 12:08am

I have to express my tnahks to you for rescuing me from this type of crisis. After researching throughout the online world and obtaining notions which were not productive, I assumed my entire life was over. Existing minus the answers to the issues you've sorted out as a result of your good post is a serious case, and the ones that would have negatively damaged my career if I had not discovered your web page. The ability and kindness in maneuvering all the details was precious. I don't know what I would have done if I had not come across such a step like this. It's possible to now look ahead to my future. Thanks a lot so much for the expert and effective guide. I will not hesitate to refer your web blog to anybody who ought to have tips about this subject.

on August 1st, 2012 at 08:22pm

Fuck Da Bears! The LUCKIEST team in the league. Who else got an oipenng day win thanks to idiot refs? Who edged the Pack at home on the day the Pack decided to play the worst game of the year with the idiot penalties and got raped by the refs? That got to play the Fish with BOTH the first and second string QB's out? That time and time again gets flucky scores off of tipped, dropped balls and special teams horseshit? That got to play the Vikes last night outside, without their star runner, receiver O lineman and QB facing that broken old wreck #4? Fuck Da Bears.

on August 3rd, 2012 at 06:05am

The Cowboys are not America's team, at least not the America I live in!

on December 18th, 2011 at 11:20am

Davey, I'm a die hard listener to you Sunday mornings on Packer Preview (and as much as I can on Saturday mornings) and hope you plan on talking about our linebacker injury's/problems and how it'll pan out. Will they play? Will we see So'oto? Glad you and all Packers/fans (OK, maybe not Walden) had a great Thanksgiving.

on December 1st, 2011 at 09:36am

Some truly wonderful blog posts on this internet site , appreciate it for contribution.

on December 21st, 2011 at 01:21pm

order an for more detail for more

on December 28th, 2011 at 01:16pm

And where is the facebook like link ?

on December 6th, 2011 at 06:05pm

thanks for share!

on February 26th, 2012 at 12:17pm

Adoro me mostrar peladinha na web cam

on February 27th, 2012 at 07:35pm

Wonderful explaantion of facts available here.

on January 19th, 2012 at 07:38am

It's good to see smooene thinking it through.

on January 21st, 2012 at 12:54pm

what a great article that is really informative and innovative informed with new updates. its was really valuable. thank you very much.

on July 19th, 2012 at 12:40am

keep informed and read a lot and you will be always writing awesome articles like this one. just an advice.

on July 21st, 2012 at 12:34pm

thanks for the blog, doing well keep posting such stuffs.

on July 3rd, 2012 at 04:48pm

nice post. your website will be included in my daily reading.

on July 8th, 2012 at 04:07pm

i simply wished to say greetings! wonderful web site incidentally.

on June 14th, 2012 at 04:01pm

A genuinely excellent publish by you my friend. I've bookmarked this page and will occur back following several days to examine for any new posts which you make.

on June 25th, 2012 at 08:55pm

Nice piece of info that you've got in this weblog submit. Hope I can get some a lot more of this stuff on your website. I'll are available back.

on March 19th, 2012 at 08:16pm

Hello my family member! I want to say that this article is amazing, nice written and include approximately all important infos. I would like to peer more posts like this .

on May 7th, 2012 at 07:55pm

Sounds good to me. I was almost hoping Suh would string out his appeal so that he might miss the game in Green Bay. I don't like the feel of a revenge game. I would have like to seen the Giants game last night to get a better feel for them, but if the Saints can do it we can to0. Let's just roll and hope the back ups keep playing like starters!

on November 29th, 2011 at 12:22pm

Then bring on the Raiders, the Chiefs, da Bears (again) & the Lions (again). If they manage to continue to go 1-0 each game they will finish 16-0! Interesting post Dave, we'll see how things shake out for the playoffs. Go Pack all the way to 19-0!

on November 29th, 2011 at 12:26pm

Blog Archive


Has Rodgers played his last game in green and gold?

Powered by: Avallo Panel